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V-Lab

XtalPi Holdings Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

59.13%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

60.18%

increased by 1.05%

1 Month

61.77%

increased by 2.64%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 12:50 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of XtalPi Holdings Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 13, 2024 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

46
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0799
12.38***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8723
106.76***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0799
-12.14***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

7.6889
0.30
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.4614
0.28
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.912

Half-life:

8 days