Chandni Machines Private Ltd AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026
1 Day
68.03%
decreased by 9.31%
1 Week
69.19%
decreased by 8.15%
1 Month
73.35%
decreased by 3.99%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 18, 2026 at 11:42 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 8, 2019 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 65 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 65 days.
σ
AGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5132 | 14.94*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2374 | 36.47*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7520 | 118.90*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0427 | -1.11 |
Persistence:
0.989
Half-life:
65 days
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