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V-Lab

Chandni Machines Private Ltd AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026

1 Day

68.03%

decreased by 9.31%

1 Week

69.19%

decreased by 8.15%

1 Month

73.35%

decreased by 3.99%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 18, 2026 at 11:42 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Chandni Machines Private Ltd AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 8, 2019 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 65 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 65 days.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5132
14.94***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2374
36.47***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7520
118.90***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0427
-1.11

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

65 days