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V-Lab

Chandni Machines Private Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

50.18%

decreased by 1.18%

1 Week

56.89%

increased by 5.53%

1 Month

63.67%

increased by 12.31%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 12:56 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Chandni Machines Private Ltd S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 8, 2019 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 3 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.5487
6.73***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2706
6.65***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4923
6.69***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=4
γ11.3262
6.78***
γ2-1.8854
-6.72***
γ30.6793
4.35***
γ4-0.1323
-1.18

Persistence:

0.763

Half-life:

3 days