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V-Lab

GMO TECH Holdings Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

32.36%

increased by 6.72%

1 Week

31.05%

increased by 5.41%

1 Month

34.55%

increased by 8.91%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 02:13 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of GMO TECH Holdings Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 1, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.03
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2563
21.00***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.2531
0.66
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.2820
1.47
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.7180
3.09***

Persistence:

0.128

Half-life:

0 days