V-Lab
GMO TECH Holdings Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
32.36%
increased by 6.72%
1 Week
31.05%
increased by 5.41%
1 Month
34.55%
increased by 8.91%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 02:13 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 1, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.03 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2563 | 21.00*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.2531 | 0.66 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.2820 | 1.47 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.7180 | 3.09*** |
Persistence:
0.128
Half-life:
0 days
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