V-Lab
GMO TECH Holdings Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
1.90%
decreased by 7.41%
1 Week
10,187.99%
increased by 10,178.68%
1 Month
100,054,331,240,581,480,000.00%
increased by 100,054,331,240,581,480,000.00%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 11:36 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 1, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 56 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0028 | |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0385 | |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.4975 | |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0031 | |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 |
Persistence:
0.290
Half-life:
1 days
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