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V-Lab

GMO TECH Holdings Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

1.90%

decreased by 7.41%

1 Week

10,187.99%

increased by 10,178.68%

1 Month

100,054,331,240,581,480,000.00%

increased by 100,054,331,240,581,480,000.00%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 11:36 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of GMO TECH Holdings Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 1, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

56
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0028
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0385
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.4975
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0031
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000

Persistence:

0.290

Half-life:

1 days