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V-Lab

Smcg Co Ltd Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

55.18%

decreased by 2.02%

1 Week

51.71%

decreased by 5.49%

1 Month

41.90%

decreased by 15.30%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 9, 2026 at 01:09 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Smcg Co Ltd APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 7, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 21 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 21 days. The volatility power δ = 0.50 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0298
2.97***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1391
12.44***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8527
61.09***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0099
-0.19
δ

power

Transformation power

0.5000
1.84*

Persistence:

0.967

Half-life:

21 days