V-Lab
Smcg Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
57.60%
decreased by 1.26%
1 Week
58.11%
decreased by 0.75%
1 Month
59.63%
increased by 0.77%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 12:48 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 7, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6853 | 5.44*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1036 | 5.60*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8513 | 75.78*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0046 | 0.14 |
Persistence:
0.957
Half-life:
16 days
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