V-Lab
Resolution Minerals Ltd Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026
1 Day
106.16%
decreased by 1.73%
1 Week
107.16%
decreased by 0.73%
1 Month
110.86%
increased by 2.97%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 05:54 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 22, 2017 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.990, volatility shocks have a half-life of 71 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Inverse leverage: Positive returns increase volatility 49% more than negative returns
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8671 | 10.41*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0990 | 14.94*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9076 | 218.37*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0327 | -3.24*** |
Persistence:
0.990
Half-life:
71 days
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