V-Lab
Resolution Minerals Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
107.78%
1 Week
111.02%
1 Month
121.69%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 06:21 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 22, 2017 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 95% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0799 | 14.52*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8984 | 109.52*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0389 | -3.64*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 4.2335 | 0.44 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1361 | 0.44 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8165 | 1.93* |
Persistence:
0.959
Half-life:
17 days
Other Resolution Minerals Ltd Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on International Equities