V-Lab
PSK Inc Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026
1 Day
129.26%
decreased by 5.84%
1 Week
128.26%
decreased by 6.84%
1 Month
124.45%
decreased by 10.65%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 07:59 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 13, 2019 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 65 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 65 days.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1888 | 11.52*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1495 | 17.73*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8312 | 142.09*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0172 | 1.11 |
Persistence:
0.989
Half-life:
65 days
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