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V-Lab

PSK Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

96.05%

increased by 4.89%

1 Week

98.08%

increased by 6.92%

1 Month

85.46%

decreased by 5.70%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 01:05 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of PSK Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 10, 2019 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0094
0.72
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6386
13.63***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1120
6.69***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

3.0406
0.10
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.3135
0.10
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.4810
0.09

Persistence:

0.704

Half-life:

2 days