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V-Lab

Daito Koun Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

28.89%

decreased by 1.79%

1 Week

31.47%

increased by 0.79%

1 Month

36.05%

increased by 5.37%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 07:41 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Daito Koun Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 8, 1994 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 25% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2143
16.25***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6749
47.05***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0427
-2.14**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0054
1.35
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0086
2.84***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9908
271.38***

Persistence:

0.868

Half-life:

5 days