Daito Koun Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
294.12%
increased by 48.65%
1 Week
300.47%
increased by 55.00%
1 Month
324.34%
increased by 78.87%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 02:21 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 8, 1994 to Jul 17, 2026Extended Optimization
Model Insight
The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.00 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 4,249.3870 | 8.89*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1033 | 164.69*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9981 | 4,730.23*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 2.0033 |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
360 days
Other Daito Koun Co Ltd Analyses
Other GAS-GARCH Student T Analyses on International Equities