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V-Lab

Daito Koun Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

294.12%

increased by 48.65%

1 Week

300.47%

increased by 55.00%

1 Month

324.34%

increased by 78.87%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 02:21 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Daito Koun Co Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 8, 1994 to Jul 17, 2026
Extended Optimization

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.00 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

4,249.3870
8.89***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1033
164.69***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9981
4,730.23***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0033

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

360 days