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V-Lab

Daito Koun Co Ltd APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 17th, 2026

1 Day

21.40%

decreased by 0.28%

1 Week

22.31%

increased by 0.63%

1 Month

25.62%

increased by 3.94%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 08:03 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Daito Koun Co Ltd APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 8, 1994 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, volatility shocks have a half-life of 281 trading days (~1.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0770
9.93***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0770
17.70***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9230
296.39***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0720
1.78*
δ

power

Transformation power

1.8951
24.35***

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

281 days