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V-Lab

Daito Koun Co Ltd Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

22.98%

decreased by 0.27%

1 Week

23.14%

decreased by 0.11%

1 Month

23.69%

increased by 0.44%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 07:39 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Daito Koun Co Ltd APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 8, 1994 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 25% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets. The volatility power δ = 3.00 sits above 2, so large shocks influence volatility more than quadratically, dominating the response more than in standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0754
8.95***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0292
11.28***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9389
332.93***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0368
-2.25**
δ

power

Transformation power

3.0000
29.57***

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

48 days