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V-Lab

Daito Koun Co Ltd AGARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

21.39%

decreased by 0.11%

1 Week

22.44%

increased by 0.94%

1 Month

26.23%

increased by 4.73%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 07:39 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Daito Koun Co Ltd AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 8, 1994 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.001 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): volatility shocks do not decay and the long-run variance is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0672
3.29***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0887
29.65***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9126
294.58***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.4861
1.87*

Persistence:

1.001

Half-life:

-