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V-Lab

Trident Resources Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

75.96%

decreased by 1.02%

1 Week

88.07%

increased by 11.09%

1 Month

111.88%

increased by 34.90%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 09:27 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Trident Resources Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 1, 1998 to Jul 24, 2026
Illiquid Asset

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 92% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

51
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1658
13.32***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6377
53.57***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1533
7.15***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

1.9271
2.94***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1040
6.61***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8804
45.13***

Persistence:

0.880

Half-life:

5 days