V-Lab
Trident Resources Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
75.96%
decreased by 1.02%
1 Week
88.07%
increased by 11.09%
1 Month
111.88%
increased by 34.90%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 09:27 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 1, 1998 to Jul 24, 2026Illiquid Asset
Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 92% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 51 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1658 | 13.32*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6377 | 53.57*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1533 | 7.15*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1.9271 | 2.94*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1040 | 6.61*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8804 | 45.13*** |
Persistence:
0.880
Half-life:
5 days
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