Trident Resources Corp Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026
1 Day
104.00%
decreased by 1.49%
1 Week
107.01%
increased by 1.52%
1 Month
117.15%
increased by 11.66%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 18, 2026 at 09:45 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 1, 1998 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 46% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 1.42 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
μ
APMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6432 | 5.41*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1580 | 10.91*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8420 | 57.92*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1340 | 3.79*** |
δ power Transformation power | 1.4155 | 10.92*** |
Persistence:
0.976
Half-life:
29 days
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