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V-Lab

Trident Resources Corp Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026

1 Day

104.00%

decreased by 1.49%

1 Week

107.01%

increased by 1.52%

1 Month

117.15%

increased by 11.66%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 18, 2026 at 09:45 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Trident Resources Corp APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 1, 1998 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 46% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 1.42 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6432
5.41***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1580
10.91***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8420
57.92***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1340
3.79***
δ

power

Transformation power

1.4155
10.92***

Persistence:

0.976

Half-life:

29 days