Trident Resources Corp MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026
1 Day
97.65%
increased by 0.30%
1 Week
102.18%
increased by 4.83%
1 Month
117.63%
increased by 20.28%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 18, 2026 at 09:45 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 1, 1998 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.991, volatility shocks have a half-life of 73 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
MEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.1691 | 7.39*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1688 | 17.75*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8218 | 56.85*** |
Persistence:
0.991
Half-life:
73 days
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