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V-Lab

Trident Resources Corp MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026

1 Day

97.65%

increased by 0.30%

1 Week

102.18%

increased by 4.83%

1 Month

117.63%

increased by 20.28%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 18, 2026 at 09:45 AM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Trident Resources Corp MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 1, 1998 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.991, volatility shocks have a half-life of 73 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.1691
7.39***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1688
17.75***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8218
56.85***

Persistence:

0.991

Half-life:

73 days