Trident Resources Corp EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026
1 Day
103.49%
decreased by 2.90%
1 Week
106.27%
decreased by 0.12%
1 Month
117.43%
increased by 11.04%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 09:12 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 1, 1998 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 306% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0792 | 6.90*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1295 | 18.48*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9860 | 570.58*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0783 | -11.88*** |
Persistence:
0.986
Half-life:
49 days
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