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V-Lab

Trident Resources Corp GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

86.64%

decreased by 1.47%

1 Week

88.51%

increased by 0.40%

1 Month

95.65%

increased by 7.54%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 09:26 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of Trident Resources Corp GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 1, 1998 to Jul 24, 2026
Illiquid Asset

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, volatility shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6517
4.77***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0110
5.90***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9334
301.79***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1112
15.55***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days