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V-Lab

E.ON SE MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

27.06%

decreased by 1.31%

1 Week

26.87%

decreased by 1.50%

1 Month

26.24%

decreased by 2.13%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:45 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of E.ON SE MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 115% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

41
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0639
19.75***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8043
110.61***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0735
13.71***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0155
4.07***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0240
4.35***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9698
140.61***

Persistence:

0.905

Half-life:

7 days