V-Lab
E.ON SE MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
27.06%
decreased by 1.31%
1 Week
26.87%
decreased by 1.50%
1 Month
26.24%
decreased by 2.13%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:45 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 115% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 41 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0639 | 19.75*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8043 | 110.61*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0735 | 13.71*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0155 | 4.07*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0240 | 4.35*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9698 | 140.61*** |
Persistence:
0.905
Half-life:
7 days
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