V-Lab
Shimizu Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
39.47%
decreased by 0.88%
1 Week
42.17%
increased by 1.82%
1 Month
46.29%
increased by 5.94%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 02:01 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 3, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 100% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 76 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0949 | 18.76*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6914 | 60.21*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0947 | 11.77*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.1963 | 1.52 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1289 | 1.57 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8330 | 7.80*** |
Persistence:
0.834
Half-life:
4 days
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on International Equities