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V-Lab

Shimizu Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

39.47%

decreased by 0.88%

1 Week

42.17%

increased by 1.82%

1 Month

46.29%

increased by 5.94%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 02:01 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Shimizu Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 3, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 100% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

76
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0949
18.76***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6914
60.21***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0947
11.77***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.1963
1.52
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1289
1.57
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8330
7.80***

Persistence:

0.834

Half-life:

4 days