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V-Lab

Shimizu Corp GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

34.98%

decreased by 0.13%

1 Week

35.03%

decreased by 0.08%

1 Month

35.20%

increased by 0.09%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 07:22 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Shimizu Corp GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 3, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 54 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 54 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.80 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.3683
5.78***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0638
31.45***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9874
404.82***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.8009
7.18***

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

54 days