V-Lab
ThyssenKrupp AG MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
48.22%
decreased by 1.14%
1 Week
50.24%
increased by 0.88%
1 Month
54.49%
increased by 5.13%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 06:53 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 128% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 76 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0531 | 16.25*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8293 | 110.72*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0679 | 12.05*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0155 | 2.61*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0362 | 3.53*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9620 | 85.53*** |
Persistence:
0.916
Half-life:
8 days
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