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V-Lab

ThyssenKrupp AG MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

48.22%

decreased by 1.14%

1 Week

50.24%

increased by 0.88%

1 Month

54.49%

increased by 5.13%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 06:53 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of ThyssenKrupp AG MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 128% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

76
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0531
16.25***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8293
110.72***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0679
12.05***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0155
2.61***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0362
3.53***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9620
85.53***

Persistence:

0.916

Half-life:

8 days