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V-Lab

ThyssenKrupp AG Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

44.37%

decreased by 1.31%

1 Week

45.09%

decreased by 0.59%

1 Month

47.30%

increased by 1.62%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 06:53 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of ThyssenKrupp AG S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 18 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8440
5.83***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0715
7.83***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8912
63.05***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ1-0.0297
-0.72
γ20.1166
1.84*
γ3-0.1993
-4.32***
γ40.2010
4.61***
γ5-0.1280
-2.92***
γ60.0319
0.71
γ70.0610
1.56
γ8-0.1053
-2.27**
γ90.0623
1.47

Persistence:

0.963

Half-life:

18 days