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V-Lab

ThyssenKrupp AG GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

43.42%

decreased by 1.06%

1 Week

43.41%

decreased by 1.07%

1 Month

43.35%

decreased by 1.13%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 06:52 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of ThyssenKrupp AG GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, volatility shocks have a half-life of 121 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 102% more than positive returns

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0400
11.22***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0309
15.71***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9476
573.95***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0315
8.89***

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

121 days