V-Lab
ThyssenKrupp AG GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
43.42%
decreased by 1.06%
1 Week
43.41%
decreased by 1.07%
1 Month
43.35%
decreased by 1.13%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 06:52 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.994, volatility shocks have a half-life of 121 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 102% more than positive returns
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0400 | 11.22*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0309 | 15.71*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9476 | 573.95*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0315 | 8.89*** |
Persistence:
0.994
Half-life:
121 days
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