V-Lab
Jiangsu Ankura Intelligent Power Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
71.32%
increased by 5.18%
1 Week
68.73%
increased by 2.59%
1 Month
64.43%
decreased by 1.71%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 11:21 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 28, 2017 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 65% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 46 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0886 | 11.61*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5935 | 22.69*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0580 | 4.88*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 4.0865 | 0.69 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.5996 | 0.74 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.711
Half-life:
2 days
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