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V-Lab

Jiangsu Ankura Intelligent Power Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026

1 Day

78.87%

increased by 6.88%

1 Week

78.13%

increased by 6.14%

1 Month

75.56%

increased by 3.57%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 18, 2026 at 10:24 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

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graph of Jiangsu Ankura Intelligent Power Co Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 28, 2017 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 28 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 28 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.11 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

14.9940
3.22***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1083
22.58***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9757
121.32***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.1112
8.17***

Persistence:

0.976

Half-life:

28 days