V-Lab
Jiangsu Ankura Intelligent Power Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
87.71%
increased by 6.25%
1 Week
86.75%
increased by 5.29%
1 Month
83.35%
increased by 1.89%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 11:20 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 28, 2017 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 30 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 30 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.12 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 15.5451 | 3.13*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1083 | 23.40*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9773 | 127.05*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 4.1246 | 8.40*** |
Persistence:
0.977
Half-life:
30 days
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