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V-Lab

Jiangsu Ankura Intelligent Power Co Ltd AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

56.49%

decreased by 5.64%

1 Week

54.65%

decreased by 7.48%

1 Month

51.67%

decreased by 10.46%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 06:26 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Jiangsu Ankura Intelligent Power Co Ltd AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 28, 2017 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 0.69) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.5660
18.56***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1349
18.68***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6986
89.01***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.6854
5.56***

Persistence:

0.834

Half-life:

4 days