Jiangsu Ankura Intelligent Power Co Ltd AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
56.49%
decreased by 5.64%
1 Week
54.65%
decreased by 7.48%
1 Month
51.67%
decreased by 10.46%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 06:26 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 28, 2017 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 0.69) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.
σ
AGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.5660 | 18.56*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1349 | 18.68*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6986 | 89.01*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.6854 | 5.56*** |
Persistence:
0.834
Half-life:
4 days
Other Jiangsu Ankura Intelligent Power Co Ltd Analyses
Other AGARCH Analyses on International Equities