Jiangsu Ankura Intelligent Power Co Ltd Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026
1 Day
75.79%
decreased by 7.89%
1 Week
72.99%
decreased by 10.69%
1 Month
65.55%
decreased by 18.13%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 06:44 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 17, 2017 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8795 | 18.70*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2713 | 22.23*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6466 | 64.13*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0086 | 0.36 |
Persistence:
0.922
Half-life:
9 days
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