Skip to main content
V-Lab

Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

48.50%

decreased by 0.73%

1 Week

48.58%

decreased by 0.65%

1 Month

48.88%

decreased by 0.35%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 10:29 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 6, 1994 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 51 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 51 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.87 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

10.5226
5.14***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0715
32.56***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9866
389.34***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.8742
9.31***

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

51 days