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V-Lab

Bayerische Motoren Werke AG MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

32.84%

decreased by 1.39%

1 Week

32.99%

decreased by 1.24%

1 Month

33.84%

decreased by 0.39%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:38 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Bayerische Motoren Werke AG MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 173% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

41
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0420
15.16***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8286
89.68***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0728
15.54***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0166
3.70***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0357
4.09***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9598
98.63***

Persistence:

0.907

Half-life:

7 days