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V-Lab

Bayerische Motoren Werke AG MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

26.50%

decreased by 0.13%

1 Week

27.14%

increased by 0.51%

1 Month

28.24%

increased by 1.61%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:40 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Bayerische Motoren Werke AG MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 175% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

41
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0418
15.21***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8294
90.93***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0730
15.65***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0166
3.76***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0349
4.12***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9605
101.31***

Persistence:

0.908

Half-life:

7 days