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V-Lab

Makoto Construction Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

31.24%

decreased by 1.02%

1 Week

33.18%

increased by 0.92%

1 Month

34.25%

increased by 1.99%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 07:38 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Makoto Construction Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 21, 2006 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

31
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1680
14.20***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5970
19.17***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0073
0.41
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.1126
1.99**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0710
1.82*
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9116
19.79***

Persistence:

0.769

Half-life:

3 days