V-Lab
Makoto Construction Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026
1 Day
31.24%
decreased by 1.02%
1 Week
33.18%
increased by 0.92%
1 Month
34.25%
increased by 1.99%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 07:38 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 21, 2006 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1680 | 14.20*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5970 | 19.17*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0073 | 0.41 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.1126 | 1.99** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0710 | 1.82* |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9116 | 19.79*** |
Persistence:
0.769
Half-life:
3 days
Other Makoto Construction Co Ltd Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on International Equities