Makoto Construction Co Ltd MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
30.97%
increased by 1.26%
1 Week
32.65%
increased by 2.94%
1 Month
36.79%
increased by 7.08%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 02:23 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 21, 2006 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days.
μ
MEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4660 | 6.27*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1919 | 14.32*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7449 | 82.98*** |
Persistence:
0.937
Half-life:
11 days
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