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V-Lab

Makoto Construction Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

44.04%

increased by 10.64%

1 Week

45.40%

increased by 12.00%

1 Month

49.30%

increased by 15.90%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 02:24 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Makoto Construction Co Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 21, 2006 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.51 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

13.6585
3.36***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1704
30.89***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9580
76.17***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.5096
42.93***

Persistence:

0.958

Half-life:

16 days