Makoto Construction Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
29.45%
increased by 2.48%
1 Week
29.96%
increased by 2.99%
1 Month
31.77%
increased by 4.80%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 02:23 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 21, 2006 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 45 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 45 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1144 | 12.15*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0830 | 10.58*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8975 | 151.20*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0086 | 0.81 |
Persistence:
0.985
Half-life:
45 days
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