Makoto Construction Co Ltd Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
31.60%
increased by 1.50%
1 Week
33.25%
increased by 3.15%
1 Month
37.34%
increased by 7.24%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 02:23 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 21, 2006 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4790 | 14.01*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1772 | 14.31*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7398 | 82.23*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0388 | 1.86* |
Persistence:
0.936
Half-life:
11 days
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