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V-Lab

Makoto Construction Co Ltd APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

27.37%

decreased by 0.95%

1 Week

27.98%

decreased by 0.34%

1 Month

30.08%

increased by 1.76%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 07:42 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Makoto Construction Co Ltd APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 21, 2006 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 45 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 45 days.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1162
9.82***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0867
14.59***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8972
151.98***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0255
0.99
δ

power

Transformation power

2.0223
28.19***

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

45 days