Makoto Construction Co Ltd APARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
27.37%
decreased by 0.95%
1 Week
27.98%
decreased by 0.34%
1 Month
30.08%
increased by 1.76%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 07:42 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 21, 2006 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 45 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 45 days.
σ
APARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1162 | 9.82*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0867 | 14.59*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8972 | 151.98*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0255 | 0.99 |
δ power Transformation power | 2.0223 | 28.19*** |
Persistence:
0.985
Half-life:
45 days
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