V-Lab
Megachips Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
42.62%
decreased by 3.03%
1 Week
45.23%
decreased by 0.42%
1 Month
47.42%
increased by 1.77%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 02:58 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 17, 1998 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 117% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1073 | 20.06*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5542 | 41.00*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1260 | 12.13*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0237 | 1.82* |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0121 | 3.23*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9849 | 215.24*** |
Persistence:
0.725
Half-life:
2 days
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