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V-Lab

Megachips Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

42.62%

decreased by 3.03%

1 Week

45.23%

decreased by 0.42%

1 Month

47.42%

increased by 1.77%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 02:58 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Megachips Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 17, 1998 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 117% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1073
20.06***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5542
41.00***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1260
12.13***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0237
1.82*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0121
3.23***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9849
215.24***

Persistence:

0.725

Half-life:

2 days