Megachips Corp Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
59.10%
increased by 1.77%
1 Week
59.01%
increased by 1.68%
1 Month
58.67%
increased by 1.34%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 07:32 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 17, 1998 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 12% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2210 | 19.26*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1601 | 28.59*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8129 | 214.83*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0187 | 2.10** |
Persistence:
0.982
Half-life:
39 days
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