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V-Lab

Megachips Corp Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

59.92%

increased by 6.70%

1 Week

58.97%

increased by 5.75%

1 Month

55.82%

increased by 2.60%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 02:03 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Megachips Corp APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 17, 1998 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 22 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 22 days. The volatility power δ = 1.61 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1494
15.28***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1728
39.11***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8167
190.63***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0278
3.84***
δ

power

Transformation power

1.6059
27.83***

Persistence:

0.969

Half-life:

22 days