Megachips Corp MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, July 17th, 2026
1 Day
51.69%
decreased by 0.53%
1 Week
51.84%
decreased by 0.38%
1 Month
52.37%
increased by 0.15%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 08:03 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 17, 1998 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 39 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 39 days.
μ
MEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2196 | 8.32*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1686 | 43.91*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8137 | 203.57*** |
Persistence:
0.982
Half-life:
39 days
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