Megachips Corp GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
54.60%
increased by 10.46%
1 Week
54.53%
increased by 10.39%
1 Month
54.29%
increased by 10.15%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 02:03 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 17, 1998 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 92% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1802 | 12.43*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0450 | 16.05*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9178 | 300.63*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0413 | 5.58*** |
Persistence:
0.984
Half-life:
42 days
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