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V-Lab

Datamatics Global Services MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

39.28%

decreased by 0.81%

1 Week

42.03%

increased by 1.94%

1 Month

47.10%

increased by 7.01%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 07:03 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Datamatics Global Services MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 1, 2004 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 32% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

121
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0976
19.30***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7725
75.58***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0313
2.97***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0807
2.10**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0223
3.56***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9710
106.68***

Persistence:

0.886

Half-life:

6 days