V-Lab
Datamatics Global Services MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026
1 Day
39.28%
decreased by 0.81%
1 Week
42.03%
increased by 1.94%
1 Month
47.10%
increased by 7.01%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 07:03 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 1, 2004 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 32% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 121 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0976 | 19.30*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7725 | 75.58*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0313 | 2.97*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0807 | 2.10** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0223 | 3.56*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9710 | 106.68*** |
Persistence:
0.886
Half-life:
6 days
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