Datamatics Global Services MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
45.24%
decreased by 1.23%
1 Week
46.12%
decreased by 0.35%
1 Month
48.72%
increased by 2.25%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:58 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 1, 2004 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 17 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 17 days.
μ
MEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4932 | 8.90*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1330 | 23.56*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8266 | 169.07*** |
Persistence:
0.960
Half-life:
17 days
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