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V-Lab

Visne Madencilik Uretim Sana MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

48.24%

decreased by 0.39%

1 Week

52.67%

increased by 4.04%

1 Month

55.92%

increased by 7.29%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 08:26 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Visne Madencilik Uretim Sana MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 11, 2025 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

76
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2830
28.86***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5266
23.59***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.2830
-32.17***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

9.9966
0.02
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0241
0.02
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.2006
0.00

Persistence:

0.668

Half-life:

2 days