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V-Lab

Visne Madencilik Uretim Sana GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

44.05%

decreased by 1.93%

1 Week

51.14%

increased by 5.16%

1 Month

67.92%

increased by 21.94%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 08:26 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Visne Madencilik Uretim Sana GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 11, 2025 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 14 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 14 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 200.00 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

37.4436
5.62***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2429
7.06***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9528
73.98***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

200.0000
0.11

Persistence:

0.953

Half-life:

14 days