V-Lab
Visne Madencilik Uretim Sana GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026
1 Day
44.05%
decreased by 1.93%
1 Week
51.14%
increased by 5.16%
1 Month
67.92%
increased by 21.94%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 08:26 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 11, 2025 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 14 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 14 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 200.00 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 37.4436 | 5.62*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2429 | 7.06*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9528 | 73.98*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 200.0000 | 0.11 |
Persistence:
0.953
Half-life:
14 days
Other Visne Madencilik Uretim Sana Analyses
Other GAS-GARCH Student T Analyses on International Equities