Visne Madencilik Uretim Sana MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
64.91%
decreased by 0.94%
1 Week
68.90%
increased by 3.05%
1 Month
80.85%
increased by 15.00%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:27 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 13, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 25 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 25 days.
μ
MEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.5428 | 2.37** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2259 | 10.16*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7469 | 44.72*** |
Persistence:
0.973
Half-life:
25 days
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