Deutsche Telekom AG MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 16th, 2026
1 Day
28.37%
decreased by 1.87%
1 Week
28.24%
decreased by 2.00%
1 Month
28.62%
decreased by 1.62%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 16, 2026 at 06:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 15, 1996 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 65% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 66 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0624 | 19.22*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7945 | 100.30*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0405 | 8.26*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.1277 | 1.73* |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.2571 | 2.05** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.6966 | 4.64*** |
Persistence:
0.877
Half-life:
5 days
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