V-Lab
Deutsche Telekom AG MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
32.14%
decreased by 1.49%
1 Week
31.94%
decreased by 1.69%
1 Month
31.74%
decreased by 1.89%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 06:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 15, 1996 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 65% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 66 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0623 | 19.18*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7941 | 99.80*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0404 | 8.25*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.1273 | 1.72* |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.2565 | 2.04** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.6972 | 4.64*** |
Persistence:
0.877
Half-life:
5 days
Other Deutsche Telekom AG Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on International Equities