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V-Lab

Deutsche Telekom AG MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 16th, 2026

1 Day

28.37%

decreased by 1.87%

1 Week

28.24%

decreased by 2.00%

1 Month

28.62%

decreased by 1.62%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 16, 2026 at 06:40 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Deutsche Telekom AG MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 15, 1996 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 65% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0624
19.22***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7945
100.30***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0405
8.26***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.1277
1.73*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.2571
2.05**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.6966
4.64***

Persistence:

0.877

Half-life:

5 days