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V-Lab

Deutsche Telekom AG MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

26.90%

decreased by 0.79%

1 Week

27.93%

increased by 0.24%

1 Month

30.31%

increased by 2.62%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 08:15 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Deutsche Telekom AG MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 15, 1996 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 64% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0626
19.33***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7938
100.81***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0403
8.23***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.1292
1.72*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.2616
2.06**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.6920
4.56***

Persistence:

0.877

Half-life:

5 days