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V-Lab

Albert David Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

1 Day

45.19%

decreased by 1.01%

1 Week

45.18%

decreased by 1.02%

1 Month

45.14%

decreased by 1.06%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 07:11 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Albert David AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 5, 2010 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 19 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 19 days.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2826
22.36***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1443
24.20***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8299
192.86***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0187
-1.92*

Persistence:

0.965

Half-life:

19 days